IWA
Sefyliad Materion Cymreig
Institute of Welsh Affairs
Press Releases

Barnett Squeeze drives £300 million hole in Welsh Budget

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Embargo: 1.00am Wednesday 7 January 2004

A £300 million hole in the Welsh budget is being caused by the operation of the Barnett Formula which distributes Treasury funding across the nations of the United Kingdom. The IWA’s latest devolution quarterly report monitoring the operation of the National Assembly, between September and December 2003, reveals that the budget gap has resulted from increases in health spending. Historically Wales has always spent more per head on health, reflecting greater need. However, this is not taken into account by the Barnett Formula which is calculated on the basis of extra allocations to England. The result is what has become known as the “Barnett Squeeze” on Welsh spending.

The UK government’s increased allocation to health spending, resulting in increases for the Welsh health spending under Barnett rules, is bringing enormous pressure on the Assembly Government’s overall budget. This is because for, inherited reasons of greater relative ill-health, every £100 spending increase on health in England requires a £114 increase in Wales, with the extra £14 having to be found from within the overall Welsh block. Hence the more health spending rises, the greater the pressure on funding elsewhere within the block.

Health Budgets in England and Wales 2003-2004 and 2004-2005 (£’000’s)

 
2003-2004
2004-2005
Health Budget in England
55,752,000
67,444,000
Barnett Allocation to Welsh Health Spending(5.89% of English allocation)
3,283,793
3,972,452
Total Health allocation in Welsh Budget
3,580,234
4,308,148
Difference between Barnett and Budget allocation
296,441
335,696


This Table, published in the IWA’s report, shows the budget for health in England for 2003-2004 and 2004-2005. The Barnett Formula then determines the allocation to Wales, currently 5.89% of this. In both budgets the Assembly Government has allocated more to health than this amount, resulting in the Barnett squeeze. As the IWA report states:

“The additional finances needed for health, and therefore the burden on other expenditure groups, is increasing to drive a widening hole through the Assembly Government’s overall budget. Although an extra £335 million may not seem a large amount when compared with the total Welsh block of nearly £12 billion in 2004-05, it will have a significant impact at the margins of the discretionary expenditure options available to the Assembly Government.”

MORE INFORMATION
Contact: John Osmond, IWA Director, 029 2057 3944 or johnosmond@iwa.org.uk

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